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Summary: A band of rain and showers will pass through Berkshire County Thursday morning into early afternoon. This precipitation is being generated by a cold front, extending southward from a surface low pressure system over eastern Canada, which should pass through the county around midday. It will be mild, with temperatures hovering near 50 overnight and through the morning Thursday. However, once the front passes, temperatures will drop precipitously through the 40s and into the upper 30s during the course of the afternoon. It will be much colder Thursday night and Friday and will feel even colder on Friday as it turns blustery due to a strengthening pressure gradient between the departing storm over the Canadian maritime and surface high pressure building in from our southwest.

The strong, cold, west-northwest winds blowing over Lake Ontario will generate fairly heavy bands of lake-effect snow in the usual locations of upstate New York on Thursday night. It appears that the winds will shift into a direction favorable to bring one of these bands over Berkshire County toward dawn and into the morning on Friday. Therefore, there may be snowflakes in the air in some locations when folks awaken on Friday. However, it does not look like we will receive anything more than a dusting of accumulation.

It still looks like a dry Veteran’s Day weekend, although it may become cloudy for a time Saturday night and into Sunday as a weak low pressure system scoots by to our north. The long-range models have been intermittently generating a fairly amplified jet stream wave pattern developing mid week next week, with a trough dropping over the Northeast with an accompanying southward plunge of arctic air. If so, it will feel like winter with temperatures struggling to get above freezing. Stay tuned….

Wednesday Night

Increasing cloudiness, breezy and mild. A band of rain will be moving through the county from northwest to southeast during Thursday morning and will likely reach western portions of North County by daybreak but it will likely still be dry to the south. Probability of precipitation 60% in northwest locations and 30% in southeast locations of the county. Rainfall totals up to 0.10″ in northwest locations.

Low temperatures in the upper 40s will occur during the evening. Temperatures will rise a few degrees into the low 50s by morning.

South-southwest winds at 10-15 mph, with gusts to 25 mph, particularly over the elevated terrain.

Thursday

Overcast with rain spreading over the county from northwest to southeast early in the morning. Intermittent rain and showers through the morning, ending early to mid afternoon. It will be breezy and mild in the morning, becoming sharply colder during the afternoon. Probability of precipitation near 100%. Most likely rainfall totals between .10″ and .25″.

High temperatures will occur during the morning hours and be in the low 50s in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams and Williamstown; low to mid 50s in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and; near 50 over the elevated terrain and hilltowns. Temperatures will drop through the 40s and into the upper 30s over the course of the afternoon.

Southwesterly wind at 10-15 mph, with gusts to 25 mph, during the morning, shifting to west-northwesterly around noon.

Thursday Night

Clearing during the evening then increasing clouds after midnight. Turning colder. There is a good chance for a snow flurry or snow shower toward morning, particularly over North County. Probability of precipitation 50%. A dusting of snow is possible in some locations.

Low temperatures in the upper 20s, mid to upper 20s over the elevated terrain.

West-northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph, 10-15 mph over the elevated terrain.

Friday

There is a good chance of a snow shower or flurry during the morning. Probability of precipitation 50%. A dusting of snow possible in a few locations. There will be a mix of clouds and sun during the afternoon, with the most sun in South County. It will be quite breezy and cold.

High temperatures in the low 40s in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams and Williamstown; low to mid 40s in Lee and Stockbridge; mid 40s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; mid to upper 30s over the elevated terrain and hilltowns, depending on elevation.

West-northwest winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 to 40 mph.