Berkshire County Forecast-Thursday, October 3

Summary: I do not see much of a change in the weather scenario since yesterday but there are some slight changes in the outlook from yesterday…..First of all, I think that even though there is the chance of a shower anytime from after midnight tonight right through the weekend, the chance of rain at any given time and place is relatively small. Also, rain amounts should be relatively light. This will all change when a cold front moves through on Monday and Monday night with a bout of more substantial rain. It still appears that it will be fairly bleak and cloudy over the weekend as the warm front previously discussed stalls over New England. Saturday should be the bleakest of the two weekend days, featuring a low overcast and scattered drizzle and light showers, with temperatures in the low 60s at best. The warm front may finally pass through during the day on Sunday so, even though it looks to remain mostly cloudy, it should be a bit milder and there may even be a few breaks of sun during the afternoon (although I wouldn’t count on it). One important feature is newly developed Tropical Storm Karenpresently in the Gulf of Mexico. Although it is projected to briefly become a minimal hurricane, the present forecast track has it making landfall along the Alabama/Florida panhandle during the day on Saturday as a tropical storm. As it moves inland and weakens the track becomes more uncertain. However, its remnants may come through New England with some fairly heavy rainfall on Tuesday or Wednesday…..stay tuned. 

Thursday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy with the chance of a shower after midnight. Probability of precipitation 30%. Any rainfall amounts generally less than 0.05″.

Low temperatures in the low 50s.

Calm winds.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with the chance of a shower. Probability of precipitation 40%. Any rainfall amounts generally 0.05″ or less.

High temperatures in the mid 60s in most locations, low 60s over the elevated terrain.

Winds light and variable.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy with the chance of a shower. Probability of precipitation 30%. Any rainfall amounts generally 0.05″ or less.

Low temperatures generally in the mid to upper 50s.

Winds light and variable, become southeast at 5-10 mph after midnight.

Saturday

Overcast skies with scattered drizzle and a few sprinkles or light showers possible. Rainfall amounts should be minimal.

High temperatures generally in the low 60s, near 60 over the elevated terrain.

Southeast winds at 5-10 mph, slightly stronger over the elevated terrain.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy, still the chance of a light shower early. A little milder, with high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.