Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: It will be quite cold this week as the broad trough in the jet stream wave pattern that helped generate yesterday’s storm spreads over the eastern U.S., allowing cold, Canadian air to plunge southward and eastward over the Midwest and New England. It will be moderately cold through midweek but become frigid late in the week as a deeper trough in the jet stream pattern generates a deep surface low pressure system along the Mid-Atlantic Coast on Thursday and Friday. This will permit the center of the arctic air mass, presently centered over central Canada to, briefly, plunge southward over New England. I will discuss this late week storm in more detail toward the end of the discussion. First, more about the “immediate” future…..

Skies will be fairly clear overnight and into Tuesday morning as a weak surface high pressure system becomes centered over our region. As this occurs, winds will lighten as the weak pressure gradient towards the center of the high moves over us. As a result, there will be fairly good radiational cooling overnight with temperatures falling well into the low single digits. It may even drop below zero where there is a snow cover over the high country in northeastern parts of the county.

Tuesday will start out fairly sunny but it should cloud up fairly quickly during late morning. A disturbance in the jet stream, presently generating an area of snow showers over Iowa, will rotate through the base of the trough overnight and during the day tomorrow. It will generate a weak surface low pressure system over the Great Lakes overnight. This weak low will move through during the afternoon tomorrow. It is likely that most of the county will see some snow shower activity but accumulations will be light, a dusting to 1″ at most. Weak surface high pressure will again build in for Tuesday night and Wednesday. However, clouds will be on the increase on Wednesday as a another low pressure system approaches from the west.

It looks like we are in for a protracted period of light to moderate snow beginning Wednesday night and not winding down until Friday afternoon as jet stream energy is transferred from the Midwestern surface low to a low pressure system developing along the Mid-Atlantic Coast on Thursday and Thursday night. Fortunately (or unfortunately if you are a snow lover) it looks like the coastal low will not deepen rapidly until it is well east of Cape Cod, although the situation is still somewhat fluid. Right now it looks like an accumulation in the 6-12″ range. Unlike recent storms, this looks like all snow. In fact, it will become frigidly cold as temperatures hover around 10 degrees on Thursday and well down in the single digits during the day on Friday. After the storm departs on Friday night temperatures will plunge well below zero, possibly near record levels in the teens below zero (Record low for Saturday morning is -15). By Sunday temperatures will moderate considerably but another storm system may approach late in the weekend and into early next week.

Monday Night

Clear to partly cloudy and very cold with lightening winds.

Low temperatures generally near zero to the low single digits above zero, single digits below zero over snow covered areas in the elevated terrain.

West-northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph this evening, decreasing to 5-10 mph by midnight, becoming light after midnight.

Tuesday

There will be a fair amount of sunshine early but it will cloud up quickly during the mid to late morning. Overcast with snow showers likely during the afternoon. Probability of precipitation 70%. Any accumulations should be light, a dusting to 1″ at most.

High temperatures near 20 in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; low 20s in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and; upper teens over the elevated terrain.

Light south-southwesterly winds during the morning, increasing to 5-10 mph during the afternoon.

Tuesday Night

Variable cloudiness, breezy and seasonably cold with the chance of a snow flurry.

Low temperatures in the low teens.

West-northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph with occasional gusts to 25-30 mph diminishing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

Wednesday

Increasing cloudiness and quite cold.

High temperatures in the mid to upper teens in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; upper teens in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and: low teens over the elevated terrain.

Westerly winds at 5-10 mph.

Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: It will be wet and unseasonably mild this weekend as a trough in the jet stream wave pattern settles over the central to western U.S., forcing a ridge to build over the eastern U.S.. As a result, the polar front (where the polar front jet stream resides) will be stalled just to our north. A series of disturbances in the jet stream flow pattern will generate surface low pressure centers which will ride along the polar front on the eastern edge of the trough, passing to our west. The counterclockwise circulation around these lows will force mild air from our south up an over the stalled warm front (stationary front) lying just to our north. Fortunately for Berkshire County, most of the “forcing” (upward motion along the front) will be focused to our north. As a result, most of the heavy rain over the weekend will be to our north, over upstate NY, VT and NH. Flooding will likely be a major concern there as 1-3″ of rain falls on a melting snowpack that measures more than a foot in places. Icing will also be a concern to the north of the front as warm air aloft overrides cold air at the surface in the Champlain Valley, northeastern NY and northern VT and NH.

Flooding is less likely here. Although temperatures will be much milder (generally in the 40s and 50s), rainfall totals should not be as heavy, 0.50″ or less in most locations. Northernmost portions of the county will likely see more rainfall but totals should still remain 1″ at most. One caveat…although the heavy rain should stay to our north, there will be a well-defined line between heavy rain to the north and light rain to the south, so it would not take much of a southward shift in the position of the front for us to be in the heavy rainfall band.

The first low to ride along the front is passing by to our northwest this afternoon. Upward motion along the warm front has generated a band of showers, but this rain has become heavier to our north. We will continue to have a low overcast tonight but with nothing more than a few light showers, sprinkles and showers. Patchy fog will likely develop as milder air moves over the cold snow pack. Another weak low will move along the front just to our north and west Saturday afternoon and evening. Occasional rain and showers are likely as this low moves by, with the heaviest rain falling in North County. As this low moves by, it will push the front even further north and allow even warmer air to infiltrate the county with temperatures holding well into the 40s overnight Saturday. A stronger low pressure system will develop over the Ohio Valley Saturday night and pass to our northwest on Sunday. This will force unseasonably mild air into the county for Sunday. Temperatures will be at near record levels on Sunday, approaching 60 degrees (the record for the date for Pittsfield is 59), with temperatures well into the 70s over the Carolinas and Virginia. Most of the heavy rainfall will to our north, although we will likely see some showers here, predominantly from the early morning hours and into early afternoon on Sunday.

This last surface low will finally drag its cold front slowly through the county Sunday afternoon into Monday as the trough finally shifts east and temperatures drop slowly through Monday. The arctic air will filter in on Tuesday (Christmas eve) on strong northwesterly winds and there may even be a few lake-effect snow showers. Christmas Day looks to have quite a bit of sunshine and much lighter winds as surface high pressure builds directly over us. It will be quite cold, however. There is a chance that a coastal storm could develop late next week but it is much too early to guess whether we will be impacted and what type of precipitation the storm might bring if it does develop and impact us.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy with scattered light showers possible, predominantly before midnight. Patchy fog likely developing after midnight. Probability of precipitation 40%, 50% in North County. Likely rainfall totals 0.05″ or less.

Temperatures holding steady in the mid to upper 30s.

South-southwesterly winds at 5-10 mph.

Saturday

Overcast and mild with periods of rain and showers likely. Patchy fog in places. Showers will fall mainly during the afternoon and will increase in coverage and intensity as the afternoon progresses. Probability of precipitation 60% in South County, 80% in central Berkshire and 90% in North County. Likely rainfall totals less than 0.10″ in South County, around 0.10″ in central Berkshire and 0.10″ to 0.25″ in North County.

High temperatures in the mid to upper 40s in Pittsfield; mid 40s in Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; upper 40s in Lee and Stockbridge; near 50 in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; mid 40s over the elevated terrain.

South-southwesterly winds at 5-10 mph.

Saturday Night

Occasional rain. Patchy fog developing. Probability of precipitation near 100% but only 90% in South County. Likely rainfall totals 0.10″ to 0.25″ in South County, 0.25 to 0.50″ in central Berkshire and 0.50″ to 0.75″ in North County.

Temperatures holding steady in the mid to upper 40s during the evening, then rising slowly after midnight. By daybreak temperatures should reach near 50 to the low 50s in most locations.

South-southwesterly winds at 5-10 mph in the evening, increasing to 10-15 mph by daybreak.

Sunday

Any steadier rain or showers should end early, then remaining overcast, breezy and unseasonably warm with a few scattered light showers and sprinkles.

High temperatures near 60 in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown, Lee and Stockbridge; low 60s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and: mid to upper 50s over the elevated terrain.

South-southwesterly winds at 10-15 mph with occasional gusts to 25 mph.

It is starting to look like the surface low will intensify off the coast rapidly, before the western edge of the precipitation shield moves out of Berkshire County. Therefore, I think 3-6″ of snow accumulation is likely, with even 7 or 8″ in a few spots in the elevated terrain to the east. Also, the snow should continue moderate at times into the evening instead of ending during the afternoon.

Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: A vigorous upper-level disturbance has generated an “Alberta Clipper” surface low pressure system which is presently moving rapidly southeastward across the Great Lakes. It is producing a band of moderate to heavy snow across Minnesota and Wisconsin. As the trough in the jet stream containing the disturbance digs south of us tomorrow, the disturbance will produce significant divergence in the jet stream wind flow over New England. This will result in pronounced upward movement in the atmosphere leading to a rapid deepening of the surface low as it moves off the southern New England coast and increasing instability due to the difference in temperature between the warm water at the surface and the cold air aloft associated with the upper-level disturbance enhances the upward motion.

With these types of systems it is always difficult to forecast snow amounts for Berkshire County because it is very difficult to time the intensification of the surface low relative to the western extent of the precipitation shield. The most likely total snow accumulation is 2-4″ but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the precipitation shield move to our east while most of the county is still in the lower end of that range. It will be cold, so the snow should be of the light and fluffy variety.

The timeline looks like this: Weak high pressure will build in overnight Monday generating ideal radiational cooling conditions with clear skies, calm winds and a fairly fresh snow cover. Low temperatures will reach well down into the single digits, near zero or even a few degrees below zero over the elevated terrain. Snow should overspread the region Tuesday morning between 9-11 am and be moderate at times for several hours, into the early to mid afternoon. Snow should then taper off during the course of the afternoon but may continue to fall moderate at times into the evening in the eastern highlands of the county.

We will then shift to a more mild regime as the week progresses as the jet stream shifts to the north as a trough digs over the western U.S.. If you are a snow lover, get out and enjoy it soon because it looks like we may end up with light mixed precipitation and rain on Friday and then, quite mild over the weekend and, possibly, a rainstorm late in the weekend and into early next week.

Monday Night

Clear, calm and very cold. Becoming overcast near daybreak.

Low temperatures generally in the low to mid single digits above zero, mid to upper single digits in South County. Near zero over the elevated terrain.

Northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph this evening, becoming calm after midnight.

Tuesday

Overcast and cold, with snow developing across the county between 9 and 10 am. Snow continuing, moderate at times until early to mid afternoon, then tapering off. The moderate snow may continue toward evening in the eastern highlands. Total snow accumulation 2-4″. Probability of precipitation near 100%.

High temperatures in the mid teens in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; mid to upper teens in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and; low teens over the elevated terrain.

Easterly winds increasing to 10-15 mph in the morning, shifting to northeasterly during the afternoon.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with any snow tapering off in eastern sections during the evening. An additional 1″ is possible over east facing slopes. Chance of a flurry during the remainder of the night.

Temperatures holding steady in the low to mid teens.

Northeasterly winds shifting during the evening to northwesterly at 8-12 mph.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy during the morning, partial clearing during the afternoon, becoming partly cloudy late. Quite breezy.

High temperatures in the mid 20s in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; mid to upper 20s in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and: low 20s over the elevated terrain.

West-northwesterly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30-35 mph.

Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: A surface low pressure system developing over the Texas panhandle will move northeast to the Ohio Valley Saturday and then re-develop off the DelMarva Peninsula Saturday night. It will then closely hug the coast and intensify as it moves over Cape Cod Sunday morning and into the Gulf of Maine Sunday afternoon. This scenario has been consistent in the computer models for the past few days.

Light snow should develop near noon on Saturday and should remain light and intermittent through the daylight hours. 1-2″ of snow should accumulate by dinner time. Snowfall intensity will pick up in the evening and continue, moderate at times through the night. Snowfall rates should be 1/2″ per hour at times with a few bursts of heavier snow possible. I think the precipitation will stay all snow in most locations. However, there is a fairly good chance that the snow will briefly change to sleet towards daybreak in South County as the precipitation is winding down. There is even a slight chance it will briefly change over in central Berkshire. Any light sleet/snow will change back to all snow and diminish quickly early Sunday morning and be over by noontime.

Total accumulations will likely be in the 6-10″ range with some totals 12″ or slightly higher in the elevated terrain in the eastern part of the county. If a changeover to sleet occurs, accumulation totals would be an inch or so less.

Friday Night

Skies will partially clear for a time this evening with overcast skies re-developing after midnight.

It will be very cold, with low temperatures generally in the low to mid single digits above zero, upper single digits in South County.

Northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph this evening, becoming light northerly after midnight.

Saturday

Overcast and very cold, with light snow developing across the county from southwest to northeast near noon. Intermittent light snow during the afternoon. Total snow accumulation 1-2″ by dinner time. Probability of precipitation 90%.

High temperatures in the mid teens in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; mid to upper teens in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and; low teens over the elevated terrain.

Northeasterly winds at 5-10 mph in the morning, shifting to easterly and increasing to 10-15 mph late.

Saturday Night

Becoming windy, with snow increasing in intensity during the evening and continuing moderate to heavy at times overnight. The snow may change briefly to sleet in South County and possibly central Berkshire as it winds down towards daybreak. Additional accumulations of 4-8″. Probability of precipitation near 100%.

Temperatures holding steady in the evening, then rising slowly after midnight. By daybreak temperatures should reach the mid to upper teens in the elevated terrain, near 20 in most other locations, low 20s in South County.

East-northeasterly winds increasing to 15-25 mph with 30-40 mph gusts.

Sunday

Light sleet and snow, changing to all snow as it tapers off during the morning and ends by noon. Probability of precipitation 70%. Additional accumulations 1″ or less. Total storm accumulations 6-10″ with 12″ or slightly higher amounts over the elevated terrain in eastern parts of the county.

Not as cold as previous days, with high temperatures in the mid to upper 20s in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; upper 20s in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield and: low to mid 20s over the elevated terrain.

Northeasterly winds at 5-10 mph shifting to northwesterly in the afternoon.

I just want to give an update on this weekend’s storm. I will update in more detail with a few of my students’ help tomorrow afternoon.

It is beginning to look like the surface low will be a little more intense and will hug the coast more closely than it appeared yesterday. I still think the precipitation should remain all snow, although there is a chance that there could be a brief changeover to sleet in the early morning hours of Sunday, particularly in South County. It should begin to snow lightly during the morning on Saturday with intermittent light snow continuing for the remainder of the day. Likely snowfall totals should be in the 1-3″ range by dinner time. Snowfall intensity will then increase overnight and then taper off fairly early on Sunday morning. Snowfall totals will likely be in the 6-12″ range. Any changeover to sleet will diminish the accumulations totals somewhat. More on this tomorrow…..

Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: Another cold trough in the jet stream wave pattern is shifting over New England and will be centered over us on Thursday. Therefore, it will be cold for the next several days, with tomorrow several degrees colder than today as another, weaker, arctic front passes through tonight. As surface high pressure builds in to our south and west, tracking along the western side of the trough (the usual location) it will generate a fairly strong west-northwest flow across the region through Friday. As the cold, arctic air blows across the Great Lakes the atmosphere will destabilize and bands of lake-effect snow showers will be generated. As a result, we will have variable amounts of clouds with intervals of snow flurries and snow showers as these bands shift back and forth across Berkshire County for the next few days.

The jet steam wave pattern will, briefly, flatten out (become zonally [west-east] oriented) Friday into Saturday as a new trough begins to dive south into the Great Plains. This trough will generate a new surface low pressure system across the southern Mississippi Valley Friday night into Saturday morning. As the warm front extending northeast from the low advances, a broad area of light snow will develop across the Midwest and into the Northeast in advance of the low center. Therefore, light snow should develop here during the day on Saturday. As the low moves off the Carolina coast, over the Gulf Stream and up along the Mid-Atlantic coast Saturday night it will intensify a bit so snow will likely pick-up in intensity here overnight. The snow should taper off Sunday morning as the storm departs off the coast southeast of Cape Cod.

A few days ago it appeared that the trough generating the surface low would become quite deep and the amplified pattern in the jet stream would generate a very deep low off the coast with warmer air being drawn over us giving us a lot of snow, sleet and freezing rain. Now the computer models are beginning to converge on a solution that has the jet stream considerably flatter, with a weaker surface low. Therefore, it looks like the cold air should stay over us and that the precipitation will remain all snow. However, precipitation totals should also be less. Right now it looks like a light to moderate snow event with snowfall accumulations in the 2-4″ or 3-6″ range. I will update this forecast over the next few days as the storm approaches……

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, breezy and cold, with a chance of a snow shower or flurry, predominantly before midnight. Skies should begin to clear after midnight. Probability of precipitation 50%. There may be a dusting of snow in a few spots.

Low temperatures generally in the low teens, mid teens in South County and near 10 over the elevated terrain.

West-northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph, with gusts to 25 mph, shifting to northwesterly and diminishing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

Thursday

Partly cloudy, breezy and cold through early afternoon. Clouds will increase during the afternoon. There is the chance of a snow shower or flurry late in the day. Probability of precipitation 30% late.

High temperatures in the upper teens to near 20 in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown; near 20 in Lee and Stockbridge; near 20 to low 20s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and: mid teens over the elevated terrain.

Northwest winds at 10-15 mph in the morning, with gusts to 25 mph, shifting to westerly at 5-10 mph during the afternoon.

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy, breezy and cold with a good chance of a snow shower before midnight. Probability of precipitation 50%. There may be a dusting in a few spots.

Low temperatures near 10 in most locations with low teens in South County and mid to upper single digits over the elevated terrain. Wind chill temperatures -5 to -10.

Westerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Friday

Mixed clouds and sun, breezy and cold. There will be more clouds to the north than in South County. There is the chance of a snow shower or flurry. Probability of precipitation 50% with greater chances to the north than the south. Once again, there may be a dusting of snow in a few spots.

High temperatures near 20 in Pittsfield, Adams, NorthAdams and Williamstown, Lee and Stockbridge; low 20s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and: mid to upper teens over the elevated terrain.

Westerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

I have posted an updated forecast on the BCC weather station website: http://www.rainwise.net/weather/bcc

Note: Clicking on underlined red text provides links to various weather maps.

Summary: First, I would like to apologize for my snow accumulation forecast for Friday night. I had 3″ accumulation at my house at 1300′ elevation but I get the impression it was much less in the valleys. Hopefully, I will do a little better with tonight and tomorrow’s weather “event”.

One thing that is apparent is that the precipitation which falls tonight and during the day tomorrow, in whatever form it is in, will generally be light. However, temperatures will also be well below freezing tonight and into tomorrow morning so roads could be slippery even with light frozen precipitation falling. One advantage is that the precipitation will progress from snow to sleet to freezing rain (instead of just freezing rain) so a coating of slush will likely be on the roads in the morning instead of an icy glaze.

We will be in between two weak surface low pressure systems, one dying over the Great Lakes and a secondary low forming along its warm front along the Mid-Atlantic coast. The warm front will advance from the south and just pass through to our north during tomorrow afternoon as temperatures rise slowly through the 20s during the morning and into the low to mid 30s by late in the day. Once the front passes, any remaining light precipitation should end during the late afternoon, except for some spotty drizzle. The cold front extending southwest from the occluded front of the dying low in southern Canada will then move slowly through during tomorrow evening and temperatures will again begin to drop slowly overnight, reaching the mid 20s by morning. The precipitation should be over by the time the temperatures fall below freezing but any remaining slush on the secondary roadways may refreeze. However, given the amount of salt that is usually deposited during these events the roads will probably stay wet.

Light snow should overspread the county from south to north around 11 pm or midnight and continue off and on til daybreak. Snow accumulations should be light, on the order of an inch or less in most spots. The snow should begin to change to sleet (ice pellets) around 7 or 8am. The sleet should also be light. Sleet will gradually change to light freezing rain or freezing drizzle as the morning progresses. This transition should occur mid to late morning. There will likely be a coating of ice pellets on top of the snow, perhaps 1/2″ or so. Light freezing rain or drizzle will continue off and on from late morning through mid afternoon. Expect no more than o.10″ of freezing rain to coat the snow and sleet. The precipitation may change to plain rain in the valleys late in the day as temperatures finally rise above freezing. Precipitation may stay light freezing rain and drizzle over the elevated terrain where temperatures will top out near 32 degrees. Precipitation should end by late afternoon, except for some spotty drizzle from time to time through the evening.

As the cold front continues to move to our east and south on Tuesday a disturbance will ride up the coast along the front. We may be brushed with a little light snow on the northwestern fringe of the precipitation shield during Tuesday afternoon, particularly in South County. Accumulations will likely be a trace to 1″ with the highest amounts in South County. After this it will turn markedly colder as another arctic air mass moves in for the mid to late work week.

Sunday Night

Light snow overspreading the county from south to north between 11pm and midnight. Intermittent light snow til morning. Accumulations generally an inch or less. Probability of precipitation 90%.

Low temperatures in the low 20s in the valleys in central and northern Berkshire, mid 20s in South County, and upper teens to near 20 over the elevated terrain.

Winds light and variable in the evening, becoming east-southeast at 5-10 mph after midnight.

Monday

Intermittent light snow will transition first to light sleet (ice pellets) around 7 or 8 am and then light freezing rain and drizzle mid to late morning. Up to 1/2″ of sleet and between 0.05″ and 0.10″ of ice (freezing rain). Freezing rain and drizzle changing to plain rain and drizzle mid to late afternoon in the valleys, remaining freezing rain and drizzle over the elevated terrain. All precipitation should end by late afternoon except for some spotty drizzle.

Temperatures rising through the 20s during the morning and into the low to mid 30s by mid afternoon in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams and Williamstown; mid 30s in Lee, Stockbridge, Great Barrington and Sheffield; and low 30s over the elevated terrain and hilltowns.

East-southeast winds at 5-10 mph through early afternoon, shifting to light southwest mid afternoon.

Monday Night

Overcast with spotty drizzle, freezing drizzle over the elevated terrain, in the evening. Partial clearing for a time after midnight although it should remain mostly cloudy.

Low temperatures in the low to mid 20s in most locatios, mid 20s in South County, low 20s over the elevated terrain.

Southwest winds at 5-10 mph in the evening, shifting to west-northwest near midnight.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy early, then becoming overcast. Light snow likely developing during the afternoon, particularly in South County. Probability of precipitation 50% in North County, 60% in central Berkshire and 80% in South County. Likely accumulations a dusting to the north and up to 1″ to the south.

Temperatures only rising slightly off the morning lows, with high temperatures in the upper 20s in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams, and Williamstown; near 30 in Lee and Stockbridge; near 30 to low 30s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; mid 20s over the elevated terrain and hilltowns.

West-northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph.

Quick update…..Although the European model, which has been most consistent in dealing with tonight’s snowfall event, has not weighed in yet, it appears that 2-4″ may have been on the conservative side (I tend to do that anyway). It now looks like a widespread 4-6″ is more likely, with slightly higher amounts possible in a few spots over the higher terrain and hilltowns. Rain/mixed precipitation also should not begin in earnest until around 5-6 pm with the changeover to snow occurring fairly quickly. Snow should be heaviest from around 10 pm until 2 am and taper off by daybreak. It looks right now like his snowstorm should be a bigger event for us than the storm on Sunday night and Monday but I will update that forecast Sunday afternoon.