Berkshire County Forecast-Tuesday, Nov. 25

An update for tomorrow’s snowstorm:

It looks like the snow may arrive slightly earlier than it appeared yesterday. Otherwise, there is not much change. Snow should develop from south to north across the county sometime between 7 and 9 am. Snow will then continue throughout the day and into the evening. The snow will vary somewhat in intensity but will be heavy at times, particularly during the afternoon. Snow will begin to taper off during the evening and then end sometime around midnight, to as late as 2 am. It still appears that likely snowfall totals will be 6-12″ with the greatest amounts in the elevated terrain to the east in central and southern Berkshire. I am basing my totals predominantly on the European model which has been pretty consistent with this storm. However, the U.S. models have been making the storm “wetter” and wetter the last few runs. If those models are correct, we could end up with a widespread 12-16″. However, I am inclined to believe that 6-12″ is more likely. I will post again if I see a distinct change in the situation with tonight’s model runs.

Tuesday Night

Increasing clouds and turning colder, with a chance of light snow or a snow shower toward morning. Probability of precipitation 30%. No accumulation expected.

Low temperatures near 30.

West-northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph, becoming light north-northwesterly after midnight.

Wednesday

Snow developing from south to north between 7 and 9 am and then continuing, heavy at times, throughout the day. Becoming breezy during the afternoon. Probability of precipitation near 100%. Likely snowfall totals by evening 4-8″.

Temperatures holding fairly steady, or even falling a few degrees, throughout the day, in the upper 20s in Pittsfield, Lee, Stockbridge, Adams, North Adams, and Williamstown; near 30 in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; mid to upper 20s over the elevated terrain.

Northeasterly winds at 5-10 mph during the morning, becoming northerly at 10-15 mph during the afternoon.

Wednesday Night

Snow during the evening, tapering off and then ending sometime around midnight to 2 am. It will be cold and breezy. Probability of precipitation 80%. Likely total snowfall accumulations 6-12″, with the greatest amounts over the elevated terrain to the east in central and southern Berkshire.

Low temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

Northerly winds at 10-15 mph in the evening, shifting to northwesterly after midnight.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy and cold.

High temperatures near 30 in Pittsfield, Lee and Stockbridge, Adams, North Adams and Williamstown; low 30s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; mid to upper 20s over the elevated terrain.

Northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph.