The two day Berkshire County forecast (below the summary) has replaced the Weather Underground forecast linked to BCC’s homepage. Just click on the blue “Weather Station” text (right below the temperature) in the upper-left hand corner of the BCC homepage (www.berkshirecc.edu). This will take you to a webpage hosted by our weather station manufacturer, Rainwise. The page contains streaming data from our own weather station (on the roof of Hawthorne). The forecast on the right side of the page (which used to be by Weather Underground) is now my (Joe Kravitz) forecast taken from the bottom of this post. I will continue to post that forecast on this page with a more detailed and extended forecast discussion (the “Summary” section). Beginning in mid-October, the forecasts will be made by students (working with me) in my Introduction to Meteorology course (ATM-145) as part of lab work for the course. The “Summary” forecast discussion will continue to be posted by me. They will be making their forecasts on Monday, Wednesday and Friday. I will post on the other days of the week as conditions warrant and will continue to post once the semester ends.
Summary: Just a reminder, anything in red, underlined text in this summary is a link to a weather map, usually from one of the forecast models. At the top of the map it states when the model was run (usually 12 UTC, which is 8 am local time) and when the forecast map is “valid” (meaning when the forecast is for, when the map will look like that). Keep in mind that the time is UTC, which is the same as Greenwhich Mean Time. 12 UTC is 8 am (Daylight Savings Time) and 00UTC is 8 pm…….
Our repeating weather pattern continues….Following the passage of a cold front on Saturday night, a broad area of surface high pressure is building back into the Northeast and will dominate our weather for the remainder of the entire work week and possibly right through next weekend. The large -scale subsidence (sinking) in the atmosphere associated with this system will result in dry weather for the foreseeable future. This type of system should also result in sunny and clear weather for the entire week (like it did last week). Unfortunately, this week is somewhat different, due to a cut-off type low pressure system developing over the Canadian Maritime region. This system will sit and spin for several days and, after a sunny day on Tuesday, the counterclockwise flow around the low will begin to spin moisture, in the form of some low clouds, back over New England. This should result in a pretty good cloud cover (mostly cloudy) in eastern New England from Wednesday into Friday. Berkshire County will be on the western edge of this cloud cover but right now it looks like variably cloudy/partly cloudy for those three days (W, Th and F). There is, however, very little risk of any rain on those days, it just won’t be as sunny as we might like.
Temperatures will moderate during the course of the week, with high temperatures generally rising from the low 60s on Tuesday to the mid to upper 60s for Wednesday through Friday. Temperatures will likely reach back up into the unseasonable 70s over the weekend as the cut-off low pulls away and mostly sunny skies return.
The National Weather Service in Albany has issued another frost advisory tonight as frost is likely in many locations with low temperatures in the low to mid 30s. A light wind should persist in many areas, which will likely limit the frost. Frost is most likely in the valleys and low spots over the elevated terrain.
Monday Night
Clear and cold.
There is the risk of frost, particularly in wind sheltered valleys and low spots over the high terrain. Low temperatures generally in the mid 30s, with some low 30s over the elevated terrain.
West-northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph, becoming light (< 5 mph) northwesterly after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, breezy and seasonably cool, although slightly milder than Monday.
High temperatures in the low to mid 60s in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams and Williamstown; mid 60s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; upper 50s over the elevated terrain and hilltowns.
Northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Winds 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 over the elevated terrain. Winds diminishing toward evening.
Tuesday Night
Generally clear with patchy fog and some scattered low clouds developing toward morning.
Night quite as cold, with low temperatures near 40.
Light northwesterly winds.
Wednesday
Mixed clouds and sun as low-level moisture begins to rotate in around the cut-off low over the Canadian Maritime. There should be more sun than clouds in the morning although there could be a bit more cloud cover developing in the afternoon.
Temperatures will remain seasonable with high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s in Pittsfield, North Adams, Adams and Williamstown; upper 60s in Great Barrington and Sheffield and; low 60s over the elevated terrain and hilltowns.
North-northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph.