Berkshire County Forecast-Friday, November 9

The following forecast is provided by Patrick Connors, in conjunction with the  instructor, as part of lab work for the Introduction to Meteorology course:

Summary: Surface high pressure is building into the region today with sunny skies and seasonable temperatures as large scale descent in the atmosphere limits any cloud formation. The high pressure system will crest over us on Saturday resulting in another nice autumn day. As high pressure begins to drift to our east late Saturday and Saturday night, a warm front will push through the region as warm air from the south is lifted over cooler air over our region by the return flow (south-southwesterly winds) around the back side (western side) of the high (clockwise flow around high pressure). The rising warm air will generate cloud cover Saturday night. However, the air is very dry and it is unlikely that there will be enough condensation associated with the front to generate precipitation although there is the slight chance of a light shower or sprinkle as the front moves through Saturday night. Once the front passes, the door will be open for warm air to our south to flood into the region on Sunday and Monday. Skies will clear on Sunday and temperatures will soar to much above average highs (Average is mid 40s) into the 60s. Temperatures will likely reach into the 60s with sunny skies on Monday as well. As the high pressure system drifts further east, a cold front will move through with a round of showers on Tuesday and return our temperatures to seasonable levels. Following that frontal passage, a strong autumnal high pressure system will build into the region to give us fair weather with seasonable temperatures through the remainder of the week and possibly into next weekend.

Friday Night

Clear in the evening with some increase in cloudiness after midnight, becoming partly cloudy by morning.

Low temperatures generally in the low 30s but near 30 in the elevated terrain. There may be some lows in the mid 30s in South County.

Northwesterly winds at 5-10 mph in the evening, becoming light after midnight.

Saturday

Partly cloudy (25-50% cloud cover….more sun than clouds) for the majority of the day. Clouds will begin to increase later in the afternoon and it will become mostly cloudy near sunset.

High temperatures near 50 in Pittsfield, near 50 to the low 50s in Adams, North Adams and Williamstown, low 50s in South County and mid to upper 40s in the elevated terrain and hilltowns, depending on elevation.

Light northwesterly winds in the morning, becoming light and variable in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy. There is the slight chance of a few scattered sprinkles or light showers. Probability of precipitation 20%. Any precipitation will likely not be measurable but will certainly be less than 0.05 inches.

With cloud cover and mild, higher dewpoint air moving in on southerly breezes, it will be unseasonably mild. Low temperatures near 40 in most locations with some low 40s in South County.

Light southerly winds.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy early in the morning, clearing quickly and becoming mostly sunny by mid to late morning. Unseasonably mild.

High temperatures near 60 in Pittsfield, near 60 to low 60s in Adams, North Adams and Williamstown, low 60s in South County and mid to upper 50s over elevated terrain and the hilltowns.

South-southwesterly wind at 5-10 mph.