Berkshire County Forecast-Wednesday, November 7

The following forecast is provided by Nick Carll, in conjunction with the  instructor, as part of lab work for the Introduction to Meteorology course:

Summary: The coastal storm is weakening and drifting off to the east a bit quicker than anticipated. As a result, it appears that Berkshire County is going to receive a little less in the way of accumulating snow than previously forecast.  It now looks as if there will only be an inch or less in the northwest parts of the county, with generally 1-3 inches in most locations. 2-4 inches is likely in the elevated terrain to the south and east (e.g. Otis and Becket). The storm will continue to drift slowly to the east tomorrow so it should remain mostly cloudy with only an isolated snow flurry or snow shower. Surface high pressure will then build in for Thursday night and Friday and give us clear skies. Temperatures will also finally begin to moderate as the cold trough which has been over us for the past several days finally weakens and lifts out to our northeast. This will allow a warmer ridge in the atmosphere to build in over the Northeast through early next week. In fact, temperatures will eventually reach well into the 50s and possibly even the 60s by Sunday and Monday before a cold front moves through on Tuesday.

Wednesday Night

Overcast with occasional, mostly light, snow likely through the evening, tapering to scattered flurries and snow showers after midnight. Probability of precipitation near 100% but only 80% to the northwest. Total snow accumulation an inch or less in northwestern parts of the county (e.g. Williamstown). Most of the rest of the county will receive 1-3 inches with 2-4 inches in the elevated terrain to the south and east (e.g. Otis and Becket).

Temperatures will not drop much with the overcast skies with low temperatures holding in the mid 20s.

Northerly winds at 10-20 mph with some gusts to 30 mph, particularly over elevated terrain.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy and blustery with a chance of a lingering flurry or snow shower, mostly in the morning.

Temperatures will be seasonably cold with highs upper 30s to near 40 in Pittsfield, near 40 in Adams, North Adams and Williamstown, low 40s in South County and mid 30s in the hilltowns.

North-northwesterly winds at 10-20 mph.

Thursday Night

Becoming clear and seasonably cold. Still a bit breezy.

Low temperatures generally in the low to mid 20s, near 20 in the elevated terrain.

Northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph in the evening, diminishing to 5-10 mph toward morning.

Friday

Mostly sunny and milder.

High temperatures in the mid to upper 40s in Pittsfield, upper 40s in Adams, North Adams and Williamstown, near 50 in South County and mid 40s over elevated terrain and the hilltowns.

Northwesterly winds at 10-15 mph for most of the morning, diminishing over the course of the afternoon, becoming light by evening.